After a very long day of severe weather on Wednesday, three more rounds of severe weather look likely on the southern plains. The first is today across southern Oklahoma into north Texas. Then Friday and Saturday both hold the potential to be high end tornado events across the southern plains. This may include the threat for strong to (possibly) violent and long lived tornadoes, in addition to very large hail and damaging winds.
FORECAST NAM SOUNDINGS EXHIBIT PROFILES CHARACTERISTIC OF STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES AND PERHAPS EVEN A FEW STRONG TORNADOES.
JUXTAPOSITION OF INSTABILITY AXIS...AND CLIMATOLOGY...ALL SUPPORT A RELATIVELY HIGH CONFIDENCE FORECAST OF NUMEROUS INTENSE STORMS/SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL AND A FEW STRONG/LONGER-LIVED TORNADOES IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.
I will post a detailed forecast tonight. Please stay tuned!